#数字资产生态回暖 Mid-December, the central bank’s interest rate cut arrived as expected, but the effect did not meet expectations. The bullish sentiment noticeably weakened in this move, and a correction or pullback has essentially become the default scenario.

**BTC Market Analysis**

The optimism before the rate cut was not as great as imagined. Momentum is gradually fading, and it’s unlikely to see any surprising moves by the end of the year. 95,000 and 96,000 are currently the short-term hard resistance levels—if it cannot break through in the long term, a reversal downward is likely. Keep the lines at 86,000 and 82,000 well guarded; the overall trend is to oscillate within the 82,000 to 100,000 range. Short-term follow-through trades are most suitable; avoid trying to bottom-fish or top-sell.

**ETH Situation**

The daily moving averages are resonating around 3,500, with 3,470 being the last opportunity for a bearish move. Once a breakout occurs upward, there will be little resistance on higher timeframes. 3,670 is just passing through; don’t pay too much attention. Without clear signals, avoid rushing into short positions. The key level to watch is 3,100; if it pulls back here, consider bottom-fishing — this is where the opportunity lies.

**Reference Suggestions**

BTC: Long positions between 88,700-89,200, bullish targets at 92,000-94,000, with support at 88,000

ETH: Long positions between 3,100-3,140, bullish targets at 3,250-3,350, with support at 3,050