#COAI

Trading decisions and execution plans after significant fluctuations of COAI

1. Core Logic and Decision Matrix

Scenario Trigger Conditions Probability Core Logic
Consolidation and correction. The price fluctuates within the range of 6.85-9.39 with a 55% drop, which is typical market behavior after a sharp decline, with decreasing volume and a temporary balance between bulls and bears.
Technical rebound, volume breaks through 9.39, MACD forms a golden cross, 25% extreme oversold repair demand, but strong resistance above.
The trend continues, with a significant drop below the key support of 6.85. A 20% downward trend is established, and panic selling and leverage liquidations will drive further declines.

Final Decision: Abandon directional predictions and adopt an "event-driven" trading approach. Only act after key price levels are confirmed to be broken; otherwise, remain on the sidelines. This is the choice with the highest win rate.

2. Accurate Trading Execution Manual

A. Breakthrough Long Position Plan

· Trigger Condition: Price > 9.39 and 15-minute trading volume > 3 million
· Buy-in price range: 9.40 - 9.50
· Stop loss level: 8.90 ( below the previous high and breakout level )
· Target levels: First target 10.50, second target 11.20
· Position allocation: 5% of total funds
· Expected profit-loss ratio: 1:2.5

B. Breakthrough Short Selling Plan

· Trigger condition: Price < 6.85 and 15-minute trading volume > 3.5 million
· Sell point: 6.80 - 6.84
· Stop loss level: 7.10 ( above the previous low and breakout level )
· Target levels: First target 6.20, second target 5.50
· Position allocation: 7% of total funds ( due to the dominant trend direction )
· Expected profit-loss ratio: 1:3

C. Interval Fluctuation Plan

· Operating logic: Only when a double bottom or RSI divergence appears in the 7.00-7.20 range, take a light position of 3% to bet on a rebound.
· Strict avoidance: Any "guessing the top" short selling operations are prohibited in the 8.50-9.30 range.

3. Dynamic Monitoring Dashboard

· Core Indicators:
1. Real-time price vs 6.85 / 9.39
2. 15-minute trading volume ( must be enlarged )
3. MACD Golden Cross/Death Cross ( is used to confirm momentum )
· Volatility Warning:
· European Session (14:00-18:00 UTC) is a peak period for breakthroughs.
· If Bitcoin's volatility suddenly increases, pause all COAI operations.

4. Extreme Risk Control

· Maximum single loss: ≤ 1.5% of total funds
· Maximum total loss within the day: ≤ 3% of total capital
· Forced rest conditions: Two consecutive stop losses or a single day loss reaching 2%
· Liquidity requirements: Only select top exchanges like Binance and Gate to avoid excessive slippage.

5. Psychological Discipline Checklist

· Did I check all the trigger conditions before trading?
· Have I set my stop-loss order?
· Have I accepted the reality of potential stop-loss?
· If the market is volatile, can I patiently wait and observe?

Hope this helps everyone 🥸