December 6 was quite interesting; Wall Street’s sentiment was like a roller coaster—panic came and went quickly.



After the release of economic data like the ADP employment report and PCE, one thing was basically confirmed: the Fed is very likely to cut rates next week. The market immediately calmed down, and everyone started betting on risk assets again. This time, the certainty of those bets is quite high, with volatility suppressed to low levels.

To put it simply, everyone is now watching next week’s Fed rate decision. After all, with US employment data being so weak lately, a rate cut is almost a foregone conclusion. For the coming week, the market’s focus will be entirely on this—how much the cut will be, how it will be implemented, and what the follow-up policies will be; we’ll have to wait for the official announcement.
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GasFeeCriervip
· 21h ago
It’s the same old routine again. As soon as the data comes out, the market starts comforting itself. Who knows what kind of turmoil there will be on the official announcement day. Is a rate cut a sure thing? They said the same thing last year, and look how that turned out. Can this round of low volatility last until next week? I can’t bet on it.
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LiquidityWhisperervip
· 21h ago
As soon as rate cut expectations emerge, the market starts going crazy with bets. This is fucking ridiculous. Same old routine—five minutes of panic, then everyone turns optimistic. I'm honestly tired of seeing this. Volatility is so suppressed; shouldn't we be wary of something? Feels like there's a pitfall hidden behind this calm. Will the Fed really cut rates? I'll bet five bucks they'll come out with some hawkish statements to reverse things again. Is the certainty of this rally really that high, or is everyone just betting that the Fed doesn't dare to go for a hard landing?
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LiquidatedAgainvip
· 21h ago
Here we go again, this wave of "certainty" feels so familiar... The last time I was this certain, I got liquidated.
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