2025-12-06 07:23:59

PENGU's showing something interesting here. Yeah, the short-term action looks rough, but here's the thing - the correlation between IWM and previous cycle rallies makes way more sense than just blindly following the 4-year pattern everyone talks about. Look at TOTAL3 on the 3-day chart. It's actually forming solid support above the ichimoku cloud, holding above that 100 EMA, and respecting the trend line. Stack all these technicals together with what's happening in macro, and the picture gets clearer. Sometimes the market tells you one story locally while setting up something completely different on higher timeframes.

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MerkleDreamer

· 12-06 11:28

It's difficult in the short term, but if you look at the high-level charts, you'll understand; there's no need to get caught up in the whole four-year cycle narrative. What is TOTAL3's performance actually hinting at?

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LightningWallet

· 12-06 07:54

It feels tough in the short term, but looking at the broader picture, the trend of TOTAL3 is indeed interesting. The support on the cloud has held, which makes this logic much more reliable than obsessively sticking to the 4-year cycle.

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MintMaster

· 12-06 07:52

In the short term, it looks tough, but when you zoom out to a higher time frame, wow, it's a completely different story.

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ForkThisDAO

· 12-06 07:50

Yeah, the TOTAL3 chart does have something going on, but I've been tired of the four-year cycle talk for a long time. --- Short-term pain doesn't mean there's no opportunity—the key is which cycle you're looking at when you read the chart. --- Holding above the EMA on the cloud chart sounds solid, just worried it might be another fakeout. --- Macro environment plus technical confirmation—I'm on board with this approach, way better than just guessing. --- I like multi-timeframe analysis, but the problem is most people can't see the bigger picture on the higher timeframes. --- The logic behind this IWM rebound makes more sense than clinging to the four-year cycle, but you still need to calculate the risk. --- The market tells one story on the lower timeframes and a different one on the higher timeframes—that's why so many people lose money. --- Good analysis, but in the end, making money comes down to execution and risk management. Charts are just about probabilities. --- Looking at TOTAL3 now, it doesn't seem that hopeless, but I'd still wait for a clearer signal before entering.

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GateUser-4745f9ce

· 12-06 07:50

It’s definitely tough in the short term, but looking at TOTAL3’s support on a higher time frame, it feels like the story isn’t over yet.

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DoomCanister

· 12-06 07:45

Sounds good, but I still think this round will consolidate for a bit in the short term. No matter how good the technicals look, they can’t withstand spot dumping. Let’s wait until TOTAL3 breaks above the Ichimoku Cloud before talking.

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