2025-12-06 06:51:14

#美联储重启降息步伐 Why do most people lose money in the crypto market? It's not because they lack skill, it's because they have unrealistic expectations about the market.

When prices drop, they hope for a rebound; when prices rise, they think it’s not the top yet. The result? Either they chase the highs and get stuck, or they try to catch the bottom and get trapped. Nine out of ten people repeat this pattern.

I've been in this market for ten years and learned one thing: Candlesticks may not speak, but the information they show never lies.

Is trading volume rising? That means money is moving. Is there no strength to break key price levels? That means someone is offloading. When the trend isn’t on your side, no matter how strong your conviction, you can’t avoid losses—the market only recognizes the flow of funds.

So what do I do? I trade very cautiously now: I only enter when I see clear signals, and exit immediately if there’s no opportunity. I don’t try to guess tops or bottoms, I keep my emotions out, and I never try to play the hero.

Remember this: In the crypto market, understanding the market is a hundred times more important than understanding yourself.

If you can do this, you’ll surpass most beginners. $BTC $ETH

BTC1.4%

ETH2.15%

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FarmHopper

· 14h ago

Ten years sounds intimidating, but what he said really hits home... I’ve chased tops and bought bottoms before, lost big time. He’s right, conviction is often the hardest thing to sell when it’s most valuable in the market. This guy is brutally honest—capital flow is the real truth. I’m slowly learning to wait for signals now. Another ten years, another lesson in restraint… feels like the same old routine. But I am working on not trying to guess the top or bottom. People always say to understand the market, but the more I try to read it, the more confused I get.

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MetaverseHobo

· 20h ago

Absolutely right, it's been ten years of pitfalls... Now I just endure whenever I can, observe when I'm uncertain. Anyway, the money I've lost has been enough to teach me self-restraint.

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CountdownToBroke

· 12-06 07:21

That's right, the words of a ten-year veteran really carry weight. I'm exactly the kind of fool who chases highs and gets stuck holding the bag. Looking back now, it's nothing but bitter tears. --- I’ve only recently started to understand capital flows; before, I was buying blindly based on gut feeling. Trading volume doesn’t lie, I agree with that. --- Controlling the urge to trade really hits home for me. I still get itchy hands and want to make moves every day. --- If nothing else, the phrase "understanding the market is a hundred times more important than understanding yourself" needs to be tattooed in my brain. --- When the market is dropping, I’m always hoping and waiting for a rebound, but it just keeps falling. When it’s rising, I think there’s still room to go up, chase it, and end up trapped. That’s exactly how I keep losing money. --- It took them ten years to figure this stuff out, we need to condense it and learn in two years, or we’ll really go broke. --- What I hate most is staring at the candlestick chart, guessing tops and bottoms, being completely irrational. Sooner or later, this kind of trading will wipe you out. --- Capital flow—this is the real truth. All that technical analysis I used to look at was just nonsense. Now I get it.

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HashBard

· 12-06 07:19

ngl the "faith over fundamentals" narrative is the actual rug pull here... volume doesn't lie but our egos sure do fr

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BearMarketGardener

· 12-06 07:18

Ten years, huh? That intuition is really spot on. I used to be one of those nine, an old hand at chasing highs and cutting losses. I admit the point about capital flows—too many people just stare at candlestick patterns and let their imaginations run wild. You're absolutely right, emotion is the biggest enemy. I'm still learning to restrain myself now.

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RooftopVIP

· 12-06 07:17

What you said is absolutely right, I'm one of those nine people 😅 I've chased tops and got stuck three times, now I get a bit of PTSD just looking at candlestick charts The flow of funds is indeed easy to overlook, most people are just theorizing on paper I agree with being disciplined in trading, it's better than anything else This market rally seems to be driven by renewed rate cut expectations, but we still need to stay cautious

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wrekt_but_learning

· 12-06 07:13

To be honest, I've heard this theory from ten-year veterans way too many times. The key issue is that most people simply can't do it. --- That part about chasing highs and getting stuck really hit home. I'm one of the nine out of ten. --- The capital flow data is reliable—way more honest than any technical indicators. --- Controlled trading sounds simple, but the mental pressure when actually executing is intense. --- I agree with the part about not guessing tops and bottoms, but whenever the market goes up, I lose my clarity. --- Reading the market is a hundred times more important than reading yourself? That's harsh, but it's written all over my loss statements. --- When trading volume goes up, it means funds are moving—isn't that obvious? --- The hardest thing now isn't learning these concepts, it's controlling myself so I don't trade recklessly. --- Candlesticks don't lie, but people do. Lying to myself is even worse. --- It took ten years to realize these things. How many years will it take a newbie to truly understand?

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DYORMaster

· 12-06 06:54

The summary from ten years of experience is spot on, but most people simply can't do it—I can't either. --- It's easy to say, but how many people can really avoid guessing the top or chasing highs? --- Capital flow is the real key, I agree with that. But with the Fed cutting rates again next month, newcomers will keep getting rekt. --- Restraining yourself from trading is the hardest part. Watching limit-up stocks makes you jealous, and your conviction crumbles instantly. --- It took ten years to figure this out. For us retail investors, it'll take forever to learn. --- Understanding the market is a hundred times more important than understanding yourself—that one really hits home. --- Volume doesn't lie, but sometimes it's the most deceptive.

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