#ETH走势分析 Key signals are emerging from the market: data from prediction platforms show that the probability of a monetary policy adjustment in December has climbed to 94%. More than $260 million has flowed in this direction, and bets of this scale often indicate that some form of consensus is forming.

From an on-chain perspective, several phenomena are worth noting:

Bitcoin continues to flow out of centralized platforms, with large addresses showing a clear trend of accumulation. The network hash rate remains at historically high levels, indicating that miners are still optimistic about the future. The call skew indicator in the derivatives market has risen significantly, suggesting that professional investors may be pricing in some form of change ahead of time.

Macro narratives, on-chain behavior, and market sentiment are converging. Historical experience tells us that when the liquidity environment shifts, crypto assets often become an important allocation direction.

It’s important to remember: the market always moves ahead of the news. By the time the probability moves from 94% to a foregone conclusion, prices have already reflected expectations. At such moments, volatility may be a window for reallocation, and position management is the key to making a difference.

The countdown to a policy shift is no longer speculation, but an unfolding reality. Before the trend is confirmed, staying clear-headed is more important than blindly chasing. $ETH