There’s a data release tonight that might shake up the crypto market—the US September PCE inflation data is coming out.

Why is this important? Because the Fed is watching it closely to decide whether to keep cutting rates in December. Right now, crypto and US stocks are tightly linked, so once this data is released, we’re likely to see some market reaction.

On the bright side: If the data cools down or meets expectations, the likelihood of a rate cut increases, market sentiment will lean optimistic, and it’ll be a mild positive for coin prices. On the downside: If the data unexpectedly surges, high interest rates may stick around longer, liquidity tightens, and there’ll be short-term pressure.

But honestly, no matter what the data looks like tonight, it’s just short-term volatility. Bitcoin’s long-term logic—like the halving cycle, ongoing institutional buying, and scarcity—won’t change because of a single data point.

Here’s some advice: Don’t obsess over the charts tonight, and don’t make impulsive trades just because you see volatility. When data drops, there are often “wicks” or brief spikes—this kind of volatility is often a trap. If you’re holding spot coins, just keep holding. If you’re heavily positioned, you can trim a bit on the rebound and wait for a clearer trend before making decisions.

Remember this: News affects the pace, it doesn’t change the trend. Stay patient and don’t let short-term swings lead you by the nose—that’s the most important thing. Market opportunities are always there—the key is to stay calm.