#特朗普数字资产政策新方向 Tonight at 11 PM, the core PCE data will be released. The expected value is 2.9%, the same as last month. Many people see this and think—since the data hasn't changed, the market should transition smoothly, right?
But reality is often the opposite.
Looking back at similar situations last year: the data met expectations, but the market immediately plunged 5%. The candlestick chart looked like a floodgate opening, retail investors panic-sold, only to find that the main players had completed accumulation at the bottom, followed by a rapid surge. This scenario has played out repeatedly in the crypto market.
What's the core logic? The main players use "in-line with expectations" data to create short-term volatility, with the goal of shaking out weak hands. When everyone thinks "flat data = flat market," that's exactly the psychological blind spot that's easiest to exploit.
So the focus tonight isn't on the data itself, but on how the market reacts to it.
Here are two practical tips:
First, if there's a sharp dip and wick after the data release, it's most likely the final shakeout. At this point, stay calm and don't let your emotions drive you to sell at a loss, or else you'll just become a supplier of cheap coins to the main players.
Second, if the price doesn't budge at all after the data is released, be cautious. This kind of eerie calm often signals that a major move is about to start—it could be a surge or a crash. Be sure to set your stop-loss and take-profit orders in advance so you don't end up on the back foot.
After spending enough time in the crypto market, you'll realize that the real money isn't made by predicting data, but by understanding market sentiment and the intentions of the main players. I'll be monitoring the market all night and will update immediately if there are any unusual moves. Stay rational and don't let your emotions dictate your trades.
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MissedTheBoat
· 12-05 12:11
Here we go again? Data not moving = institutions making big moves. I got burned by this trick last year.
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Honestly, when expectations are met, it’s actually more dangerous, really.
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Waiting to see how the retail investors get fleeced tonight.
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This is how the big players operate—they shake everyone out before pumping, same old trick.
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Not moving at all? That means something’s brewing.
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Gotta watch the charts all night again, ridiculous.
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If that wick was the final washout, I believe it. Let's see if it happens again next time.
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The calm is scary, even worse than a crash.
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Just set your stop-loss and take-profit, don’t overthink it.
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Feels like I finally understand, and then I get trapped again.
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Whenever this kind of data is released, I’m just a retail investor waiting for the worst, watching how the big players perform.
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LayerZeroHero
· 12-05 12:08
It turns out that meeting expectations is actually the most likely to get cut. You have to keep an eye on protocol architecture changes related to trading volume.
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Hash_Bandit
· 12-05 11:47
ngl this flatline expectation is exactly when whales start mining the bottom... seen this play out too many times lol
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SigmaValidator
· 12-05 11:44
It's the same old trick again. The data seems flat but it's not. I was there during last year's wave and got wrecked. Now I get PTSD whenever I see this kind of analysis.
Honestly, it's really hard to guess what the main players are thinking, but this guy's analysis is pretty spot on, especially that point about the "strange calm."
I'm just worried I'll get trapped by the same trick again tonight. Setting a stop-loss is more important than anything else.
#特朗普数字资产政策新方向 Tonight at 11 PM, the core PCE data will be released. The expected value is 2.9%, the same as last month. Many people see this and think—since the data hasn't changed, the market should transition smoothly, right?
But reality is often the opposite.
Looking back at similar situations last year: the data met expectations, but the market immediately plunged 5%. The candlestick chart looked like a floodgate opening, retail investors panic-sold, only to find that the main players had completed accumulation at the bottom, followed by a rapid surge. This scenario has played out repeatedly in the crypto market.
What's the core logic? The main players use "in-line with expectations" data to create short-term volatility, with the goal of shaking out weak hands. When everyone thinks "flat data = flat market," that's exactly the psychological blind spot that's easiest to exploit.
So the focus tonight isn't on the data itself, but on how the market reacts to it.
Here are two practical tips:
First, if there's a sharp dip and wick after the data release, it's most likely the final shakeout. At this point, stay calm and don't let your emotions drive you to sell at a loss, or else you'll just become a supplier of cheap coins to the main players.
Second, if the price doesn't budge at all after the data is released, be cautious. This kind of eerie calm often signals that a major move is about to start—it could be a surge or a crash. Be sure to set your stop-loss and take-profit orders in advance so you don't end up on the back foot.
After spending enough time in the crypto market, you'll realize that the real money isn't made by predicting data, but by understanding market sentiment and the intentions of the main players. I'll be monitoring the market all night and will update immediately if there are any unusual moves. Stay rational and don't let your emotions dictate your trades.