#数字货币市场洞察 The core PCE data will be released tonight at 11 PM, with market expectations remaining unchanged at 2.9%. But does this "stable data" really mean a calm market?

Historical experience suggests the opposite.

Looking back at similar situations last year: when the PCE data matched expectations exactly, the market saw a sharp 5% drop within 15 minutes of the release. Panic selling surged, while real capital quietly accumulated at the lows. Three hours later? Prices rebounded rapidly, and those who sold at the bottom could only watch as the opportunity slipped away.

This is not a coincidence, but a common market manipulation logic—using "in-line expectations" to create "unexpected volatility" and transferring positions through short-term panic.

So tonight, the key is not the data itself, but the market’s immediate reaction mechanism.

Two practical observation points:

First, if there is a sudden dip after the data release, don’t panic sell. Such flash drops are often the final shakeout move, meant to force out weak holders. Calmly observe changes in trading volume; if the price rebounds quickly after heavy selling with declining volume, it’s likely a signal that accumulation is complete.

Second, if the price remains unusually calm after the data comes out, be extra cautious. Sideways movement often precedes a breakout; the next move could be a direct upward surge or a downward break. Be sure to set your stop loss and take profit levels in advance to avoid being caught off guard by a sudden one-sided move.

The market is never short of tricks, but what’s lacking is a cool-headed judgment. I’ll be monitoring the market throughout tonight and will update the analysis in the comments if there are any unusual movements.

Share this with your trading partners so we can see the true face of tonight’s data game together.