2025-12-05 05:23:43

The monthly-level death cross signal for Bitcoin has been confirmed.

This is no small matter in the technical analysis community—a short-term moving average crossing below a long-term moving average. Historically, after this pattern appears, the market usually goes through a deep correction. Is it time to nail the coffin shut?

But this time, things are a bit more nuanced.

**Institutional capital is waiting on the sidelines**
In the past, when such technical death signals appeared, the market just had to tough it out. But now, things are different—BlackRock’s spot ETF is still sitting there, and sovereign wealth funds are ready to step in with real money at any moment. The technicals may be calling a death sentence, but the capital flows might just deliver an “emergency room rescue.”

**Leverage gamblers have already been wiped out**
Before this round of decline, those high-leverage players had already been repeatedly taught a lesson by the market. While the price action is still weak, the panic scenario of “cascading liquidations triggering a stampede” may be much less damaging this time.

**The foundation of consensus has changed**
Bitcoin is no longer the retail faith-driven thing it once was. Now it’s on the radar for institutional asset allocation, and for the first time, short-term technical patterns are facing off directly against the long-term logic of global asset restructuring. Who will win? Hard to say.

---

Don’t rush to ask, “Will it be different this time?” The real question is: **Can your position survive until the day things really are different?**

The purpose of all historical patterns is to wipe out the optimists who believe “this time is definitely an exception” before those patterns are finally broken. Only if you survive the “history repeats” beatdown do you earn the right to witness the miracle of “it really is different this time.”

One last thing:
**When technicals and fundamentals clash, the technicals usually lose in the short term—but it’s often the people who only watch the charts who get wiped out.**

BTC0.09%

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APY_Chaser

· 12-05 05:53

A death cross is just a death cross, whatever. Institutions are still buying the dip, so I'll just watch the show. --- To be honest, historical patterns are made to be broken. The key is whether you can survive until that day. --- As long as BlackRock is in, I'm not worried. --- I already halved my position long ago. If the technicals want to crash, let them crash. --- Those who only watch candlesticks do need to reflect, but just listening to fundamentals isn’t much better either. --- Is it really different this time? First ask yourself if you can handle history repeating itself. --- Is institutional money really here? If so, I'll hold. If not, I'll just accept the loss. --- Leverage players have already been taught their lesson. Now it's our turn as retail investors. --- The death cross signal is indeed fierce, but just look at who's buying at the bottom. --- When the technical side loses, that's often the best opportunity to buy the dip.

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GweiTooHigh

· 12-05 05:51

The death cross is here, but this time institutions are involved, so it feels a bit different. Can positions hold out until the end? That's the real question. The technical chart looks dead, but the faith is still alive. Once again, it's the "this time is different" narrative. Let's survive this wave first. Institutions bottom-fishing vs. technical death cross—who's faster? History always teaches us this: dying right before dawn. Those who only focus on candlestick charts really don't last long.

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wrekt_but_learning

· 12-05 05:48

The death cross has arrived, but this time institutions are stepping in, so it doesn’t feel as scary. You still need to keep some ammo in your position and not get fooled by technical patterns. Wait and see—will history repeat itself, or is it really different this time? Only time will tell. The technical chart looks great, but it only takes out people who rely solely on candlestick patterns. It’s not about the death cross—it’s about whether you can hold on until the reversal.

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BearMarketSunriser

· 12-05 05:43

A death cross is just a death cross. Whether institutions are really stepping in to buy the dip depends on their next moves. If institutions actually step in, we've got a shot. If not, we'll just keep getting hammered. My positions have already shrunk a lot, but I won't go broke anyway. This round is about who caves first, not about technicals. Are all the gamblers cleared out? What about retail investors? We're just the next batch of cannon fodder. Historical patterns mean nothing. The ones who break the patterns are the ones who get rich. If I rely on technical charts for the short term, I must be an idiot, right?

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