#ETH走势分析 I've been watching ETH's 2-hour chart for a while lately, and overall it feels like there's a hint of bullishness in the current consolidation. Let's talk about this situation.

First, about the price—ETH has been oscillating back and forth within the 3087 to 3200 USDT range. On the night of December 4, the price briefly dipped below 3087, but quickly bounced back. This level has been tested several times without a real breakdown, which shows the support below is fairly solid.

Looking at the pattern, the chart seems to be forming a descending wedge. Those familiar with technical analysis know this pattern is typically a bullish reversal signal—price consolidates within a narrowing channel, trading volume gradually shrinks, and once it breaks out upward, it often leads to a nice rally. The key now is whether it can hold above the 3200 resistance level. If it does break out, that would confirm the wedge, and further upside could open up.

So, how should you trade this? It depends on your style.

If you're more conservative, I'd suggest not rushing in. Wait for a solid breakout above 3200 first—after all, we're still inside the pattern, and fake breakouts are common. If a real breakout happens, go long then, target the first stop at 3300, and set your stop loss just below the 3087 support. If it breaks down, just accept the loss.

If you're more aggressive, you could start building a small position now, but keep it strictly under 10%. The direction isn't fully clear yet, so if there's a pullback, you can handle it. With this approach, consider taking partial profits near 3250, and keep your stop loss honestly at 3087.

That said, there’s some macro volatility right now—sentiment from the bond market could affect risk assets, and as the second largest crypto, ETH definitely won't be spared. Plus, since the wedge hasn't broken out and we're still in the consolidation range, unexpected moves are most likely right now, so beware of fake-outs. It's best to use limit orders when trading, so you don't get hurt by slippage.

Overall, ETH is showing a bit of bullish bias now, but uncertainty remains. If you're optimistic, it’s fine to start positioning, but make sure your risk control is in place—don’t go all in. With the market, it's always wise to keep a clear head.