The US weekly initial jobless claims data released tonight at 21:30 fell short of expectations, and the crypto market responded with a correction. 📉 This round of volatility once again confirms a pattern: macro data moves the market, and your sensitivity to information directly determines your reaction speed.

However, the real highlight is yet to come. At 3:00 a.m. Beijing time on December 10, the Federal Reserve's interest rate decision will be announced, and this result will directly determine whether there will be a rate cut by the end of the year. ⏰ Currently, the market expects an 88.8% probability of a 25 basis point rate cut—almost a foregone conclusion.

Let's review recent data: November ADP employment unexpectedly turned negative, recording -32,000, while the market previously expected an increase of 10,000. This contrast caught many off guard, but it also indirectly strengthened expectations for a rate cut. After all, with a weakening job market, the Federal Reserve has more room to ease monetary policy.

Once a rate cut is implemented and liquidity expectations heat up, BTC and ETH are highly likely to strengthen. 🚀 But don’t forget, the negative impact of the initial jobless claims data has already reminded us: economic data can be volatile, and you can’t operate blindly. Especially now that ETH is at a key technical level, combined with news such as the SEC’s approval of liquid staking, both opportunities and risks coexist.

Simply put, in these few days before December 10, you need to stay calm. Although expectations for a rate cut are strong, the market is never short of unexpected twists. Take profits when you should—don’t be greedy, and plan ahead for your positions. 💡

What’s your view on this rate cut? Will it go smoothly or will there be surprises along the way? Share your thoughts in the comments.