Большая нефть трудно интерпретировать, tonight обещает быть бессонной ночью! Идеи по 12.16 для 大饼姨太

tonight non-farm report will include some data from October and full data from November. The October unemployment rate will never be published. Due to the record 43-day government shutdown, workers at the Bureau of Labor Statistics were unable to collect all the necessary data during the survey. During the shutdown, hundreds of thousands of federal employees were also unemployed, which could distort the data results. Therefore, tonight's data may be distorted and difficult to interpret!
If the labor market in October and November appears to have sharply declined, and Wall Street approves of the Fed's rate cut measures, investors might expect several more rate cuts by 2026. On the other hand, given the few other data points showing improvement in the labor market, if private sector employment growth exceeds expectations, the market may remain skeptical. Perhaps the only situation that could worry investors is signs of a collapse in the labor market — and currently almost no one predicts such an outcome.
In the early morning, the crypto prices continue to decline, 大饼 drops below 86000, 以太 falls below 2900, but during the day they pulled back a bit. If today's non-farm data is positive, the prices may rise again tonight, but if the data is negative, it’s hard to say. So, focus on the data performance tonight! Currently, the rebound from the bottom can be considered for a long position!
12.16 evening long position ideas:
大饼 retraces to 86000-86500, conservative traders enter at 85000-85500, stop around 84000, target around 87500-88000-89000, break below targets 90000-91000-92000, continue moving stop-loss to lock in profits depending on the situation!
以太 retraces to 2900-2930, conservative traders enter at 2830-2860, stop around 2800, target around 3000-3050, break below targets 3100-3150-3180, continue moving stop-loss to lock in profits depending on the situation!
12.16 evening short position ideas:
大饼 rebounds to 91000-91500, short one position, stop around 92500, target around 90000-89500-89000, break below targets 88000-87000-86500, continue moving stop-loss to lock in profits depending on the situation!
以太 rebounds to 3150-3180, short one position, stop around 3230, target around 3100-3050, break below targets 3000-2950-2930, continue moving stop-loss to lock in profits depending on the situation!
Interest rates have been cut, no recent positive catalysts, but also no major negative news. So, don’t blindly be bearish; tonight’s data should bring some good market movements. The key is whether the data exceeds or falls short of expectations! #Has the market bottomed out?