Why Bitcoin Is Always in a Growth Cycle – Long, Medium, and Short-Term Analysis

In over 15 years of existence, Bitcoin has become more than just an investment asset. It has become a safe haven for those who do not want their assets eroded by inflation and the continuous depreciation of fiat currencies. When looking at the big picture, both in the long, medium, and short term, we can clearly see the market’s next direction.

1. Long Term: Bitcoin Continues to Grow Because Fiat Currencies Always Lose Value Fiat currencies (USD, EUR, VND…) are inherently inflationary due to a debt-based issuance model: The government borrows → issues more money → the value of money decreases. This process lasts for decades to hundreds of years and almost never stops. Only when: The world returns to the gold standard, orSwitches to a “Bitcoin standard” …will currencies stop losing value. However, the probability of either of these scenarios happening in the near future is extremely low. Therefore, Bitcoin – a non-inflationary asset with a limited supply – continues to be a long-term safe haven for capital.

2. Medium Term: According to Elliott Wave, Bitcoin Has Only Completed Wave 1 of the Bear Cycle According to Elliott Wave theory: The recent decline has only completed wave 1 of the 5-wave structure. The market is currently in wave 2 recovery, and in reality, only about half of the recovery has been completed. When wave 2 is completed, the market will move on to: An extended wave 2 decline, which could create another strong downward move before forming a real bottom. In other words: the medium-term correction cycle is not over yet.

3. Short Term: The 8,3800 → 94,100 Rally Was Too Fast; The Market Needs to Fill the Gap In the past two days, Bitcoin has surged from 83,800 → 94,100 USD, an increase that was too fast and unusual. Such steep rallies often leave price gaps (gap) – and the market will soon return to fill them. The current gap lies in the 87,600 – 90,000 USD area. Therefore, today’s pullback is simply the market filling the price gap before determining a new direction.

Conclusion Long term: Bitcoin still has a strong upward trend as fiat currencies continue to lose value. Medium term: According to Elliott Wave, the market still has another downward move before completing the correction structure. Short term: The market is pulling back to fill the gap, which is a completely normal reaction after such a rapid rally.