#比特币对比代币化黄金 I checked the Fear Index across the entire network today—27. To be honest, there’s still no sign of a reversal in this market. If you do the math, it’s been exactly 60 days since the last bull market peak😭. Yes, a full two months of decline. If you’re still holding your position and still in this market, congratulations—you’ve made it through the early stage of the bear market. From a technical perspective, the strength of this rebound is actually pretty subtle. Counting from the peak, the market has already experienced three bottom rebounds. According to the classic Elliott Wave Theory, there are five upward waves and three downward waves. If you pull up a daily Fibonacci retracement, after three consecutive tests, the rebound level has been hovering around 0.5, never even touching 0.618. During this round, Bitcoin just reached the 0.5 level the day before yesterday and immediately hit obvious resistance, and today it’s another sea of red... But on the other hand, there are still some things to look forward to. If the price action can consolidate and then break upward, forming an ascending flag, there could be some potential. The Fed might continue to cut rates in December, there are some rumors about a change in the chair, and with Trump’s official election win, policy expectations are building up—these factors could help stabilize the market, maybe even trigger a rebound. $BTC $ETH $SOL These major coins are still worth watching.

#数字货币市场洞察 The market fear index stopped at 27 today, exactly two months since the previous high. After 60 days of continuous pullback, those who have held on until now have truly withstood the test. From a technical perspective, there are noteworthy signals: on the daily chart, all three bottom rebounds stalled near the Fibonacci 0.5 level, without even touching 0.618. This strength of rebound fits the "wave 3 correction" structure in classic Elliott Wave Theory. After $BTC surged to the 0.5 level the day before yesterday, it clearly encountered resistance and continued to pull back today. Whether the market can form an ascending flag pattern depends on several variables: the Fed’s attitude at the December FOMC meeting, potential policy changes, and market expectation adjustments that may come with a new term. These fundamental factors might inject some confidence into the market. $ETH 's correlation remains strong, so in the short term, it’s more practical to watch which direction the price breaks out of the current consolidation range.

Just wrapped up an hour-long trading session and closed with a clean +22 SOL profit. Not bad for a quick run. Calling it early tonight. Rest up for tomorrow 😴